National Forest·South Dakota, Wyoming·1,251,482 acres
Black Hills National Forest
Forecast issued 25 Sep, 5:21pm ET
Photograph: More Than Just Parks
Peak color3 OctAim for 2 to 5 Oct
In the forest today, Sep 25Nearly peak
Higher ground turns first, so the slopes above the road lead the valley by a few days.
1 report came in from Pennington County this week, 1 of them just starting. Our date held. See the county on the map.
Still greenStartingNearly peakPeakPast peakNo fall canopy we forecastInside the line, each band of elevation is painted on its own date.
Around Black Hills National Forest Custer County holds most of the forest and is starting to turn today. That’s the county as a whole, which peaks 13 days later than the forest’s own stands: the forest is nearly peak. Lawrence County, to the northeast, is 20 days ahead. Pennington County, to the east, is 1 day behind.By elevation The forest runs from about 3,462 to 6,631 feet. That’s 19 days of season between the top and the bottom: the high stands peak around Sep 30, the low ground holds until about Oct 19, and the color comes downhill in between. The date at the top of this page is the 6,000 to 7,000 foot band.
6,000–7,000 ftNearly peakpeak Sep 3020%
5,000–6,000 ftStarting to turnpeak Oct 729%
4,000–5,000 ftStarting to turnpeak Oct 1329%
3,000–4,000 ftStill greenpeak Oct 1922%
SepOctNov
Height off 3DEP inside the forest’s own boundary; each band carries the date our model gives that elevation, corrections and all. The percentage is how much of the forest stands in it.
That’s 3 days later than our model alone would say. This September has been running warm, which shifts peak color.
Set the days you can be here. Everything under them answers for those days, not for peak.
Friday 2 October to Saturday 3 October
You’ll find it just past peak up high, starting to turn lower down.
Up at 6,000 feet the stands peak around Sep 30; down at 4,000 feet they hold on until about Oct 19. Pick your elevation for the day you come.
6,000–7,000 ftJust past peakpeak Sep 30
5,000–6,000 ftNearly peakpeak Oct 7
4,000–5,000 ftStarting to turnpeak Oct 13
3,000–4,000 ftStarting to turnpeak Oct 19
What turns
narrowleaf cottonwood, willow, plains cottonwood, quaking aspen, water birch
What turns, and when
narrowleaf cottonwood26%
willow22%
plains cottonwood13%
quaking aspen12%
water birch9%
bur oak8%
Every one of these turns yellow or gold here. The shades only tell the species apart.
Also named across South Dakota, outside what the canopy read measures here: Paper Birch, Green Ash.
The Black Hills produce a colorful mix of aspen gold and birch yellow against the dark green of ponderosa pine, while Spearfish Canyon stages the most dramatic display.
This forecast is built from the species that stand here, their elevation and this September’s weather, and corrected in season by cameras, foresters and our own crew. Out here we score it against NASA's satellite record of when the canopy shuts down, read inside each unit’s own boundary: two dates in three land within 12 days of it. How this map is made