We don’t forecast fall color here. Measured turning canopy covers 0.19% of this unit, below the 0.5% we forecast on. Our model reads latitude and elevation and will happily produce a date for anywhere; publishing one here would be a category error rather than an uncertain forecast, so we don’t.
That’s 5 days later than our model alone would say. This September has been running warm, which shifts peak color.
The place
An oasis in the desert, Amistad National Recreation Area consists of the US portion of the International Amistad Reservoir. Amistad, a Spanish word meaning "friendship," is known for excellent water-based recreation, camping, hiking, and rich cultural history dating back nearly 5,000 years. Amistad is also home to a wide variety of plant and animal life both above and below the water.
Established 1990.
If you can only come on certain days
Set the days you can be here. Everything under them answers for those days, not for peak.
Wednesday 18 November to Thursday 19 November
You’ll find it peak color.
That's the day our forecast puts peak color here.
- What turns
- bigtooth maple, velvet ash, Fremont cottonwood, willow, Arizona walnut
What turns, and when
- bigtooth maple17%
- velvet ash17%
- Fremont cottonwood17%
- willow17%
- Arizona walnut8%
- chinkapin oak8%
Also named across Texas, outside what the canopy read measures here: Bald Cypress, Sweetgum, Red Oak, Sycamore.
Bald cypresses turn copper and russet along the Hill Country rivers, bigtooth maples in the Guadalupe Mountains produce pockets of scarlet, and sweetgums color the Piney Woods red and purple.
Across Texas as a whole: Late October in the Guadalupes, mid-November in the Hill Country, late November in East Texas.
This forecast is built from the species that stand here, their elevation and this September’s weather, and corrected in season by cameras, foresters and our own crew. Out here we score it against NASA's satellite record of when the canopy shuts down, read inside each unit’s own boundary: two dates in three land within 12 days of it. How this map is made