Stop overfishing of South Atlantic blueline tilefish
Fisheries of the Caribbean, Gulf of America, and South Atlantic; Snapper-Grouper Fishery of the South Atlantic Region; Abbreviated Framework Amendment 5
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration· South Atlantic Exclusive Economic ZoneFederal Register 2026-14048 ↗
Blueline tilefish face overfishing risk if catch limits are not updated to match current science.
What’s at risk
Blueline tilefish populations in South Atlantic federal waters are at risk if outdated catch limits remain in place. Without revised limits based on the latest scientific data, overfishing could deplete the species.
If this goes through
Updated catch limits would reduce overfishing pressure on blueline tilefish, though commercial and recreational fishers may face tighter restrictions on how much they can take.
Our plain-English read of the official notice ↗. Check it against the agency’s own words below.
10 holes in the agency’s own analysis
What the public could have raised, from the agency’s own document
- I oppose this action as proposed, and I ask the agency to weigh the specific harms below.
- The agency abandons any effort to reconcile a fundamental inconsistency in its own recreational data, treating two different measurement systems (CHTS vs. FES) as 'roughly equivalent' without quantitative justification. Section 1.3.3 states the recreational ACL 'would increase from 116,820 lbs ww (inclusive of CHTS estimates) to 156,809 lbs ww (inclusive of FES estimates)' and that 'the change in how the ACL is being accounted for due to the switch from CHTS to FES estimates is considered to be roughly equivalent.' Tables 1.3.4 and 1.3.5 show these two data streams produce wildly divergent estimates: FES data in Table 1.3.5 reports landings 2 to 14 times higher than CHTS data in Table 1.3.4 for the same years. The agency provides no analysis of why a 33,000+ pound increase should be treated as having no biological or economic significance. The agency should quantify the actual…
- The agency's discard estimate—a critical input to the total ACL calculation—is derived from a sub-region (North Carolina north of Cape Hatteras) not provided in the original assessment. Section 1.3.1 states: 'This sub-region information was already available in SEDAR 92, but was not provided in the assessment report.' The agency then extracted this unpublished data, averaged it over seven years, and applied it to set a 12,742-pound discard deduction (3.9% of ABC) with no explanation of why seven-year averaging was appropriate or whether the assessment scientists concurred. The agency should justify why unpublished sub-regional data was used instead of the regional discard estimates presented in the final assessment, and provide the underlying discard data and methodology for public review.
- The sector allocation decision appears contradictory and unreasoned. Section 1.4 states the South Atlantic Council 'determined that the overall benefit to the fishery of quickly implementing the increased ABC is greater than potential benefits of waiting for a more prolonged process that would include re-evaluating sector or regional apportionment percentages' and applied the existing 50.07% commercial / 49.93% recreational split. However, the Council's own footnote 5 documents preliminary sector ACL estimates that would result from 'recent SSC recommendations presented to the South Atlantic Council in September 2025.' The agency provides no analysis of what those preliminary estimates were, why they differ from the chosen allocation, or what the quantified trade-offs are. The agency should disclose the alternative sector allocations that were analyzed and explain the scientific and…
- The agency's treatment of the OFL as 'unknown' creates an unresolved tension with overfishing determinations. Section 1.3.1 states 'Data-limited approaches do not produce overfishing level (OFL) estimates, so the OFL for blueline tilefish is unknown.' Yet the entire management framework depends on preventing overfishing. The document provides no analysis of whether and how accountability measures will function when the overfishing threshold itself is undefined, or what mechanism prevents the ACL from drifting toward overfishing in future years if landings increase. The agency should explain how the MSA's overfishing prevention mandate can be satisfied when the OFL is unknown, and specify what monitoring or trigger points will prompt a reassessment.
Show all 12 points from the document
- The agency projects no increase in fishing effort despite a 34.4% increase in the commercial ACL, contradicting basic economic theory and its own prior statements. Section 1.3.2 asserts 'the small magnitude of any increase is not expected to increase effort in a way that could be distinguished from normal interannual variability in fishing effort,' yet Table 2.4.1 calculates a $142,732 annual gross revenue increase and $46,816 net economic benefit increase. Section 2.4 states 'assuming there is no substantial increase in fishing effort, the proposed increased commercial ACL under the proposed action could be expected to extend future fishing seasons.' This conditional language contradicts the unconditional effort statement. Section 2.3.1.1 notes blueline tilefish comprise 19.8% of landed revenue on blueline tilefish trips, suggesting targeted catch. The agency should quantify the…
- The agency ignores a direct contradiction in its own recreational data assessment. Section 1.4 states 'an analysis of recreational and commercial landings, with recreational landings calibrated to estimation methods using CHTS as well as the FES indicates that there is a relatively small difference between recreational and commercial landings relative to current sector allocation percentages.' However, Section 2.4 later states 'Average recreational landings from 2024-2025 were 152,757 lbs ww in FES terms and 33,929 lbs ww in CHTS terms,' a 4.5-fold difference. This contradicts the earlier claim of a 'relatively small difference.' The agency should present the 'analysis' referenced in Section 1.4, show the comparison data, and explain why a 4.5-fold disparity in one measurement system versus another was deemed immaterial to sector allocation decisions.
- The document obscures the lack of Mid-Atlantic coordination by presenting it as resolved. Section 1.2 states the South Atlantic and Mid-Atlantic Councils 'recommended moving forward with the ABC recommendations' and 'formed a joint sub-committee to inform future catch level specifications,' yet notes this is 'especially given that blueline tilefish is a single stock along the Atlantic coast.' The document treats blueline tilefish as a single-stock management problem but implements separate ACLs by region without explaining how preventing overfishing of one region avoids overfishing the whole stock. Section 1.4 acknowledges 'The South Atlantic Council still intends to work with the Mid-Atlantic Council to explore jurisdictional allocations through a separate process in the future,' deferring a core management issue. The agency should analyze whether the proposed ACLs, when combined with…
- The biological effects section relies entirely on the unsupported assumption that the SSC assessment is correct. Section 1.3.2 states 'Increasing blueline tilefish catch levels as proposed in Abbreviated Framework 5 would not be expected to result in negative biological impacts since overall catch would be constrained to the ACL' and 'SEDAR 92 (2025) indicates that the blueline tilefish ACL can be increased without having negative effects on the sustainability of the stock.' However, the document provides no cite to specific findings in SEDAR 92, no summary of the stock's current biomass relative to target levels, and no analysis of reference points. The statement that impacts would be prevented 'since overall catch would be constrained to the ACL' is circular—it assumes the ACL itself is set correctly. The agency should cite the specific biomass estimates, harvest rate recommendations,…
- The agency's economic analysis of commercial sector impacts is built on a price assumption that directly contradicts market realities discussed in the same document. Section 2.4 states 'It is assumed that the ex-vessel price would not change due to the change in commercial landings' and applies a fixed $4.20/lb price. However, Sections 2.3.1.1.3 through 2.3.1.1.6 document substantial import volumes and price trends: fresh grouper imports average $5.33/lb, frozen grouper $2.30/lb, fresh snapper $4.48/lb. The document notes 'Imports also tend to be price setters' and 'At the harvest level, imports can affect ex-vessel prices fishermen receive for landings.' A 34% increase in domestic blueline tilefish supply competing against these imports should affect the $4.20 price, yet the agency assumes no change. The agency should conduct a sensitivity analysis showing how ex-vessel price changes…
- The agency selects an abbreviated framework procedure without analyzing or justifying why a full amendment was not appropriate given the data transition and allocation issues. Section 1.4 states 'To address catch level recommendations through an abbreviated framework amendment, sector allocation percentages would need to be maintained (50.07% commercial and 49.93 recreational), even though the recreational catch estimation method changed.' This reveals that the abbreviated framework choice was made to avoid reopening sector allocation questions. Section 3.6 states 'This proposed action, if implemented, would not be expected to have a significant economic impact on a substantial number of small entities. As a result, the issue of significant alternatives is not relevant.' This conclusion depends entirely on the sector allocation remaining fixed—a choice made for procedural convenience,…
- Say something only you can say. The law requires the agency to consider and respond to substantive comments, and specifics are what make a comment substantive.
In the agency’s own words
NMFS seeks public comment on proposed regulations to implement Abbreviated Framework Amendment 5 (Abbreviated Framework 5) under the Fishery Management Plan for the Snapper-Grouper Fishery of the South Atlantic Region (FMP). If implemented by NMFS, this proposed rule would revise catch levels for blueline tilefish in the exclusive economic zone (EEZ) of the South Atlantic. The purposes of these proposed regulatory changes are to ensure the catch levels for blueline tilefish are based on the best scientific information available (BSIA), to achieve and maintain optimum yield (OY), and to prevent overfishing while m…
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